Garissa Governor Opinion Poll 2026 results have revealed one of Kenya’s most competitive gubernatorial races, with Amb. Abdikani Dubat Fidhow opening a slim lead over Hon. Mohamed Mukhtar Shidiye as political momentum builds ahead of the 2027 General Election.
According to the latest survey by Swiss Poll International, Dubat Fidhow tops the race with 25.1% support after receiving 1,246 votes, placing him just 1.1 percentage points ahead of Shidiye, who garnered 24.0% (1,192 votes).
The findings suggest that the race remains highly fluid, with no candidate commanding an outright lead and several contenders still firmly in the contest.
Garissa Governor Opinion Poll 2026 Results
The latest Garissa Governor Opinion Poll 2026 places the candidates as follows:
- Amb. Abdikani Dubat Fidhow – 25.1% (1,246 votes)
- Hon. Mohamed Mukhtar Shidiye – 24.0% (1,192 votes)
- H.E. Ali Bunow Korane – 20.4% (1,017 votes)
- Sen. Abdul Haji – 16.1% (799 votes)
- Ahmed Ibrahim Abass – 7.5% (376 votes)
- Mohamed Moulid Shurie – 4.9% (244 votes)
- Undecided – 2.0% (99 respondents)
The poll highlights a tightly contested race, with the top three candidates separated by less than five percentage points.
Dubat Fidhow Holds a Slim Advantage
The Garissa Governor Opinion Poll 2026 places Amb. Abdikani Dubat Fidhow in first position, but his advantage remains narrow.
With only a small gap separating him from Mohamed Mukhtar Shidiye, analysts believe the campaign is far from decided.
Political observers say grassroots mobilization, campaign messaging, and coalition building will likely determine whether Dubat Fidhow can maintain his lead over the coming months.
Shidiye and Korane Remain Strong Contenders
Hon. Mohamed Mukhtar Shidiye remains within striking distance after securing 24.0% support, making him the closest challenger in the race.
Former Governor Ali Bunow Korane, who received 20.4%, also remains a formidable candidate with significant political influence across the county.
The relatively small difference between the top three candidates suggests that shifts in voter sentiment or strategic alliances could quickly reshape the standings before the election.
Abdul Haji Still Commands Significant Support
Senator Abdul Haji ranks fourth with 16.1% support.
Although trailing the leading trio, his support base remains substantial enough to influence the direction of the race.
Meanwhile, Ahmed Ibrahim Abass and Mohamed Moulid Shurie continue to attract support as they seek to expand their political influence across Garissa County.
Garissa Governor Opinion Poll 2026 Methodology
Swiss Poll International conducted the survey using the following methodology:
- Sample Size: 4,973 respondents
- Margin of Error: ±2.5%
- Confidence Level: 95%
The poll also found that 2.0% of respondents remain undecided, leaving room for further movement as campaigns intensify.
What the Poll Means for the 2027 Election
The Garissa Governor Opinion Poll 2026 demonstrates that the contest remains one of the most competitive gubernatorial races in Kenya.
With less than five percentage points separating the leading three candidates, every campaign event, endorsement, and grassroots engagement could significantly influence voter preferences.
Political analysts expect Garissa County to attract heightened national attention as the 2027 General Election approaches, particularly if the race continues to tighten.
More info on : SwissPoll International website
Final Analysis
The latest Garissa Governor Opinion Poll 2026 paints the picture of a genuinely open race.
Amb. Abdikani Dubat Fidhow currently leads, but Mohamed Mukhtar Shidiye and former Governor Ali Bunow Korane remain well within reach.
As candidates intensify campaigns and seek endorsements across Garissa County, voters are expected to play a decisive role in shaping one of the country’s most closely watched gubernatorial contests.
For now, the numbers indicate that every percentage point matters—and the race for Garissa Governor is still wide open.
