Uasin Gishu Governor Opinion Poll 2026: Julius Bitok Opens Commanding Lead

Uasin Gishu Governor Opinion Poll 2026 results showing Julius Bitok leading the gubernatorial race with 40.4% support

Uasin Gishu Governor Opinion Poll 2026 results indicate that Hon. Julius Bitok has emerged as the clear frontrunner in the race for the county’s top seat, opening a significant lead over his closest challengers ahead of the 2027 General Election.

According to the latest survey conducted by Swiss Poll International, Julius Bitok commands 40.4% support after receiving 4,042 votes, placing him comfortably ahead of Hon. Zedekiah Buzeki, who garnered 27.8% (2,774 votes).

Incumbent Governor H.E. Jonathan Bii sits in third position with 21.9% support, highlighting what could become one of the most closely watched political contests in the Rift Valley.


Uasin Gishu Governor Opinion Poll 2026 Results

The latest Uasin Gishu Governor Opinion Poll 2026 ranks the candidates as follows:

  • Hon. Julius Bitok40.4% (4,042 votes)
  • Hon. Zedekiah Buzeki27.8% (2,774 votes)
  • H.E. Jonathan Bii21.9% (2,194 votes)
  • Oliver Karori5.3% (519 votes)
  • Others2.5% (250 votes)
  • Undecided2.1% (215 respondents)

The results suggest that while Julius Bitok has established a commanding advantage, the race remains politically significant as campaigns continue across the county.


Julius Bitok Builds Strong Momentum

The Uasin Gishu Governor Opinion Poll 2026 places Julius Bitok in a strong position with more than 40 percent of voter support.

His lead of 12.6 percentage points over second-placed Zedekiah Buzeki suggests he currently enjoys substantial backing across the county.

Political analysts say maintaining this momentum will depend on continued grassroots engagement, campaign strategy, and the ability to retain support as the election draws closer.


Buzeki and Jonathan Bii Face an Uphill Task

Hon. Zedekiah Buzeki remains the closest challenger with 27.8%, while incumbent Governor Jonathan Bii follows with 21.9%.

Although both remain competitive, they will need to significantly expand their support bases if they hope to close the gap with the current frontrunner.

Observers note that party endorsements, campaign messaging, and voter turnout could still reshape the race before the 2027 General Election.


Other Candidates Remain in the Race

Oliver Karori secured 5.3% of the vote, while 2.5% of respondents preferred other candidates.

Only 2.1% of respondents remain undecided, indicating that a large majority of voters have already identified their preferred candidates.

As campaigns intensify, candidates will likely focus on persuading undecided voters while consolidating support among their existing bases.


Poll Methodology

The survey was conducted using the following methodology:

  • Sample Size: 9,994 respondents
  • Margin of Error: ±2%
  • Confidence Level: 95%

The large sample size provides a broad snapshot of voter sentiment in Uasin Gishu County at the time of the survey.
Full resuls on Swisspoll international website


What the Poll Means

The Uasin Gishu Governor Opinion Poll 2026 suggests that Julius Bitok currently holds the strongest position heading into the next phase of the campaign.

However, with months still remaining before voters head to the ballot, political alliances, party nominations, and campaign dynamics could still influence the final outcome.

Uasin Gishu is expected to remain one of Kenya’s key battleground counties, making every campaign move critical in the race for the governor’s seat.
Full Results on : SwissPoll International website


Final Analysis

The latest Uasin Gishu Governor Opinion Poll 2026 paints a picture of a race led by Julius Bitok, who has built a sizeable advantage over his closest rivals.

While Bitok enjoys a commanding lead, both Zedekiah Buzeki and incumbent Jonathan Bii remain significant contenders capable of reshaping the contest as campaigns intensify.

With only a small percentage of voters still undecided, attention now shifts to how candidates will consolidate support and position themselves ahead of the 2027 General Election.


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